Tracking evening rain, possible thunder in Southern Kentucky

BOWLING GREEN, Ky. (WBKO) – From Tuesday evening to Wednesday morning, light to moderate showers passed through the area. Dry air takes over for most of Wednesday, but rain with possible thunderstorms moves into the evening over south-central Kentucky.

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A stationary front (a cold front that has stopped) just to the south provided light rain showers in the eastern half of the WBKO observation area on Wednesday morning. Behind the front, a partially clear sky allowed a bit of fog scattered throughout the valley to form in places, especially in areas near streams, streams, rivers and lakes. After daybreak, more clouds will develop over south-central Kentucky keeping things variably cloudy for most of the day. Much of Wednesday will actually be dry with light easterly winds. This will limit some temperatures, but highs should still be well above normal as we hit the low in the mid-60s in the afternoon. The mentioned front begins to rise slowly over southern Kentucky in the afternoon and evening, triggering showers shortly before sunset.

A low is moving east along this front and will bring severe weather for people far south in southern Tennessee, eastern Arkansas, northern Mississippi, northern Alabama and western Georgia. For us in southern Kentucky, we could at best see a stronger storm with heavy precipitation, gusty winds, and frequent cloud-to-ground lightning. However, we anticipate that most of the activities that will move will be rain showers with thunder rumbles possible. The timing for storms to develop here will be between 6 p.m. and midnight – again, not expecting severe weather, but a strong storm is possible south of Cumberland Drive.

Thursday could have a few persistent showers in the east in the morning, but much of the day looks dry. Expect mostly cloudy skies early with partial clearing in the afternoon. Cloud cover will limit high temperatures to drop to lows in the mid-1960s – again very hot, but compared to the start of the week it will be “cooler”. After Thursday, a complex system will set in and provide active weather potential in the region. As it is currently forecast Friday morning will start dry with variably cloudy skies with afternoon highs reaching the mid-1960s. From Friday evening to Saturday rain and thunderstorms will return. – some of which could be violent. However, given the inconsistencies in forecasting models and the uncertain trajectory of this system, confidence in the threats of this system continues to be low. However, confidence is increasing that we will see heavy rainfall in the region, so a potential for flooding is possible. Based on the current forecast, threats of strong wind gusts are also possible, although this is in the lower confidence limit. We’re still about three days away from this event, so a lot can change as new data is collected. For now, stay tuned to reliable weather sources, such as the WBKO Early Warning Weather Team as well as the National Weather Service. It’s also better to be over-prepared than under-prepared, and given the potentially severe weather conditions with this system, it would be great to have a plan of action in place for home and work. NOTE: We are NOT anticipating a storm like December 10-11; it was a historically rare event for this region and the chances of it happening twice are extremely rare.

Showers continued on Saturday with possible thunderstorms. Heavy rains locally are currently the biggest threat in the morning, but as mentioned above, confidence is still low at this time. Saturday’s highs will be in the mid to high 60s with blustery southwest winds. The powerful cold front associated with this system will move through the region, causing temperatures in the region to drop significantly. Saturday night lows will drop into the upper 20s and lower 30s. With the back moisture from this system, a few snowflakes will be possible – although we don’t anticipate any buildup. Since we’ll have saturated roads, the rapidly dropping temperatures could create a few slippery spots on bridges, viaducts and rural roads on Sunday morning. Sunday will be a COLD day. High temperatures will only reach the 30’s with variably cloudy skies and blustery northwest winds. Conditions appear to stay cold and dry for the first half of the first week of 2022 – finally feeling like winter in Southern Kentucky!

3 day Bowling Green forecast:

WEDNESDAY: Mainly cloudy. Rain likely. Thunder possible. Hot. High 66. Low 54. Winds E at 5 mph.

THURSDAY: Cloudy. Lost AM showers possible. Hot. High 64. Low 53. Winds from the SW at 7 mph.

FRIDAY: Cloudy. Scattered MP storms likely. Very hot. High 69. Low 59. Winds from the S at 12 mph.

Wednesday climate info for Bowling Green:

Normal High: 47

Normal low: 30

Record today: 69 (1907)

Low record today: -5 (1880)

Sunrise: 6:58 a.m.

Sunset: 4:38 p.m.

Health and allergies:

Air quality: good (ozone count: 8 / Small particles: 12)

Number of molds: low (3564 – Number of mold spores)

Tuesday’s climate info for Bowling Green:

Yesterday’s high: 72 (MAXIMUM DAILY TEMPERATURE RECORD TIE, 72 ALSO RECORDED IN 2015)

Yesterday’s low: 50

Yesterday’s precip: 0.50

Monthly precipitation: 3.28 (-0.70)

Annual precipitation: 53.81 ″ (+4.06 ″)

Snowfall yesterday: 0.0

Monthly snowfall: 0.0

Seasonal snowfall: 0.0

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